Match Info

Cymru South - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Cambrian United		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.65	4.55
	1.64	3.88	4.55
	1.68	3.98	4.47
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.6	3.7	4.88
	1.6	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	3.75 ↓ (3.85)	4.59 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
55.9%

Draw
24.3%

Carmarthen Town
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Edwards D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Carmarthen Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambrian United is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambrian United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cambrian United - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.02%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh League Cup
06.12.25	Cambrian United - Barry Town United	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
29.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cambrian United	1:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
21.11.25	Cambrian United - Pen-y-Bont	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.11.25	Cambrian United - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Caerau Ely - Cambrian United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTW
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
28.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Colwyn Bay	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.11.25	Trefelin - Carmarthen Town	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Ynyshir Albions - Carmarthen Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
04.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	0:0
Welsh FA Cup
15.02.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	3:1
Welsh Cymru South
18.01.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	2:1
26.08.24	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	4:1
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	2:1
Welsh Cymru South
12.01.24	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	0:1
21.10.23	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	2:0

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