Match Info

Cymru South - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.7	1.85
	3.33	3.83	1.9
	3.39	3.91	1.93
	2.5	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.5)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
29.4%

Draw
24.2%

Carmarthen Town
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cwmbran Celtic's form might have worsened.

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carmarthen Town's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Reffell K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 3, Dyson T. ⚽,
81', 0 - 4, Thomas L. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 1.

Cwmbran Celtic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cwmbran Celtic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLT
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh League Cup
19.07.25	Carmarthen Town - Swansea City U21	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Carmarthen Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
01.07.25	Carmarthen Town - Haverfordwest County	1:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Carmarthen Town - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	5:5 ✺
05.04.25	Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	1:0
07.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1
29.03.24	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0
12.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:1
28.01.23	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	4:3
22.10.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	3:5
29.01.22	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0

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