Match Info

OFC Pro League - Losers stage

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Tahiti United		PNG Hekari

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.69	4.22	3.36
	1.7	4.86	3.41	Watch
	1.64	3.88	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.5)	4.32 ↑ (4.1)	3.7 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tahiti United
54.3%

Draw
21.1%

PNG Hekari
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tahiti United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tahiti United's form might have worsened.

PNG Hekari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PNG Hekari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tahiti United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tahiti United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PNG Hekari than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PNG Hekari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tahiti United - PNG Hekari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Gabriel K. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Waranaivalu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 1 - 2, Gonerau L. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Athale J. ⚽,

Preview

Tahiti United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PNG Hekari is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, PNG Hekari has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tahiti United is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tahiti United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tahiti United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tahiti United
OFC Pro League
06.05.26	Solomon Kings - Tahiti United	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	South Melbourne - Tahiti United	8:1 ✺
17.04.26	Tahiti United - Vanuatu United	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	South Island United - Tahiti United	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Tahiti United - Solomon Kings	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWTW
- PNG Hekari
OFC Pro League
07.05.26	Vanuatu United - PNG Hekari	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	South Melbourne - PNG Hekari	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - PNG Hekari	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bula - PNG Hekari	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	PNG Hekari - Tahiti United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

OFC Pro League
18.03.26	PNG Hekari - Tahiti United	2:2
02.03.26	Tahiti United - PNG Hekari	2:1

Tahiti United - PNG Hekari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide