Match Info

OFC Pro League - Losers stage

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Tahiti United		Vanuatu United

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.52	3.6	2.34
	2.53	3.79	2.34	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.38
	2.56	3.45	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.44)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)	2.34 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tahiti United
36%

Draw
25.4%

Vanuatu United
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tahiti United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vanuatu United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tahiti United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanuatu United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Tahiti United - Vanuatu United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Smith O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Tehau T. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 1 - 2, Saniel A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Barbe K. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tahiti United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tahiti United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tahiti United
OFC Pro League
10.05.26	Tahiti United - PNG Hekari	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Solomon Kings - Tahiti United	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	South Melbourne - Tahiti United	8:1 ✺
17.04.26	Tahiti United - Vanuatu United	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	South Island United - Tahiti United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLWT
- Vanuatu United
OFC Pro League
09.05.26	Solomon Kings - Vanuatu United	2:3 ✺
07.05.26	Vanuatu United - PNG Hekari	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Tahiti United - Vanuatu United	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Solomon Kings - Vanuatu United	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Vanuatu United - South Island United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

OFC Pro League
17.04.26	Tahiti United - Vanuatu United	1:0
30.01.26	Vanuatu United - Tahiti United	2:2

Tahiti United - Vanuatu United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide