Match Info

OFC Pro League - Round 5

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	South Melbourne		PNG Hekari

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.09	8.33	14.59
	1.11	8.46	15.27	Watch
	1.05	8.5	19
	1.06	8.9	17.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.12)	8.55 ↑ (7.94)	16.59 ↑ (15.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
84%

Draw
10.6%

PNG Hekari
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.3%

11.6%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

PNG Hekari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

South Melbourne - PNG Hekari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Menelaou A. 🟥,
8', 0 - 1, Gonerau L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Jankovic M. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Kepo A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OFC Pro League (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone OFC Pro League (Losers stage: )).

South Melbourne is Qualified for OFC Pro League (Winners stage )

PNG Hekari is OFC Pro League (Losers stage )

Recent performances by South Melbourne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

PNG Hekari is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

PNG Hekari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PNG Hekari has had a series of away games.

In this match, South Melbourne is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
OFC Pro League
15.04.26	South Melbourne - Bula	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	3:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
11.04.26	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	0:3 ✺
31.03.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL
- PNG Hekari
OFC Pro League
14.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - PNG Hekari	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bula - PNG Hekari	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	PNG Hekari - Tahiti United	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	South Island United - PNG Hekari	3:1 ✺
02.03.26	Tahiti United - PNG Hekari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

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