What is the expert prediction for Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 07, 2026)

Match Info

OFC Pro League - Losers stage

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Vanuatu United		PNG Hekari

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.55	3.83	5.22
	1.81	3.53	4	Watch
	1.5	4	4.8
	1.63	3.92	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)	3.82 ↑ (3.48)	4.75 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanuatu United
56.6%

Draw
24%

PNG Hekari
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanuatu United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanuatu United's performance.

PNG Hekari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanuatu United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PNG Hekari than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Vanuatu United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Diho R. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Kepo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 2 - 1, Saniel A. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Saniel A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, PNG Hekari has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vanuatu United is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vanuatu United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vanuatu United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

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Standings

Losers stage

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vanuatu United	3	2	1	0	8:5	3	7
8	PNG Hekari	3	0	1	2	3:8	-5	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanuatu United
OFC Pro League
17.04.26	Tahiti United - Vanuatu United	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Solomon Kings - Vanuatu United	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Vanuatu United - South Island United	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Vanuatu United - Auckland FC 2	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Vanuatu United - South Melbourne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLLTW
- PNG Hekari
OFC Pro League
17.04.26	South Melbourne - PNG Hekari	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - PNG Hekari	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bula - PNG Hekari	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	PNG Hekari - Tahiti United	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	South Island United - PNG Hekari	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

OFC Pro League
27.02.26	Vanuatu United - PNG Hekari	1:3
03.02.26	PNG Hekari - Vanuatu United	2:2

Vanuatu United - PNG Hekari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide