Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Kun City		Taian Tiankuang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	3.75	6.25
				Watch
	1.49	3.6	6.14
	1.49	3.6	6.14
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	3.98	6.46
	1.46	3.75	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	3.78 ↓ (4.11)	6.3 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
61.6%

Draw
24%

Taian Tiankuang
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Taian Tiankuang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taian Tiankuang than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Wang Zhuo (G) 14. Li Xudong 17. Yang Fan 47. Ablimit F. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 8. Han Xu 11. Ge Yuxiang 49. Yan Shoukuan 55. Ali M. 23. Yin Lu 9. Zhou Bingxu	16. Wang Meng (G) 32. Gao S. 2. Yang Zhaohui 18. Li Jingrun 23. Xie W. 6. Gao Fei 60. Long Tingwei 49. Deng Chunze 7. He L. 10. Qi Tianyu 22. Ren W.
Substitutes
26. Cai Haochen (G) 25. Cong Zhen 2. Geng Xiaoshun 22. Jiao Dejun 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 24. Ouyang Bang 1. Ran Weifeng (G) 45. Ren Jian 57. Sodorhu 19. Xu Xin 30. Yu Zeyuan	55. Abdukerim Aarpatjan 41. Liu Fanyi 50. Liu Yilin 21. Shi Ming 24. Sun Longxiang 52. Wang B. 1. Wang Kailong (G) 47. Yan Tianyi 59. Yasinjan Ihsan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Qi Tianyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhou Bingxu ↓, Yu Zeyuan ↑,
61', He L. ↓, Yasinjan Ihsan ↑,
72', Qi Tianyu ↓, Abdukerim Aarpatjan ↑,
72', Ren W. ↓, Yan Tianyi ↑,
77', Li Xudong 🟨,
82', Gao S. ↓, Shi Ming ↑,
89', Yu Zeyuan 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Dalian Kun City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Taian Tiankuang is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dalian Kun City is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
05.05.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Hubei Istar	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Quanzhou Yassin	3:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
15.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Dalian Kun City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWLW
- Taian Tiankuang
Chinese Yi League
04.05.24	Taian Tiankuang - Beijing Institute of Technology	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Shaanxi Union - Taian Tiankuang	4:0 ✺
15.04.24	Taian Tiankuang - Hubei Istar	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Taian Tiankuang - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWT

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