Match Info

CAFA Nations Cup

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Tajikistan		Iran

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4	1.42	Watch
	6.9	4.25	1.37	Watch
	7.14	4.43	1.42
	6.38	3.58	1.56	Watch
	7.9	4.45	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.91 ↓ (11.05)	4.14 ↓ (4.67)	1.44 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tajikistan
13.4%

Draw
22.3%

Iran
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.3%

19.7%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tajikistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tajikistan's performance.

Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Tajikistan - Iran Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tajikistan will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Iran will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Iran (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Tajikistan (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tajikistan (votes: 1 - 25%). Iran (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) FK Rostov 10. Dzhalilov A. (C) Istiqlol Dushanbe 2. Dzhuraboev Z. Sogdiana 21. Imomnazarov D. Regar-TadAZ 3. Islomov T. Istiqlol Dushanbe 6. Khanonov V. Sepahan 15. Mabatshoev S. Regar-TadAZ 17. Pandzhshanbe E. Sogdiana 5. Safarov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 22. Samiev S. Xorazm Urganch 7. Umarbaev P. Lok. Plovdiv	1. Niazmand P. (G) Persepolis 20. Aghasi A. Esteghlal TEH 14. Ghoddos S. (C) Ittihad Kalba 26. Ghorbani M. Al Wahda 4. Hazbavi M. Sepahan 24. Moghanlou S. Ittihad Kalba 25. Mohebi M. Ittihad Kalba 27. Mohebi M. FK Rostov 5. Nemati A. Foolad 21. Noorafkan O. Sepahan 18. Yousefi A. Sepahan
Substitutes
33. Azizov D. (G) Khosilot Parkhar 14. Boboev S. Ravshan Kulob 18. Elmurodov S. Regar-TadAZ 30. Ismoilov S. Vakhsh 8. Juraboev A. 4. Karomatullozoda A. Ravshan Kulob 11. Khamrokulov N. Vakhsh 23. Khasanov M. (G) Panjsher 20. Madaminov M. Barkchi Hisor 19. Nazarov A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 12. Shukurov A. Khujand 9. Soirov R. Istiqlol Dushanbe	17. Ahmadi M. Esteghlal TEH 8. Alipour A. Persepolis 19. Aliyari M. Sepahan 12. Gohari A. (G) Paykan 16. Hashemnejad M. Tractor 10. Hosseinzadeh A. Tractor 7. Jahanbakhsh A. 28. Jalali A. Esteghlal TEH 13. Kanaani H. Persepolis 22. Mirzazad N. (G) Sepahan 23. Rezaeian R. Esteghlal TEH 9. Taremi M. Olympiacos Piraeus

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Mohebi M. ⚽,
41', Ghorbani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yousefi A. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
46', Ghorbani M. ↓, Rezaeian R. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Mohebi M. ⚽,
57', Mohebi M. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
57', Moghanlou S. ↓, Alipour A. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Samiev S. ⚽, Umarbaev P. (A),
65', Imomnazarov D. ↓, Soirov R. ↑,
68', Samiev S. 🟨,
68', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Dzhuraboev Z. ⚽, Umarbaev P. (A),
79', 🟨,
85', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Khamrokulov N. ↑,
86', Umarbaev P. 🟨,
89+3', Dzhalilov A. ↓, Nazarov A. ↑,
90', Mohebi M. ↓, Kanaani H. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Iran is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tajikistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tajikistan
CAFA Nations Cup
01.09.25	Afghanistan - Tajikistan	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Tajikistan - India	1:2 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Cambodia - Tajikistan	1:2 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Tajikistan - Timor-Leste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWW
- Iran
CAFA Nations Cup
01.09.25	India - Iran	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Iran - Afghanistan	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Iran - North Korea	3:0 ✺
05.06.25	Qatar - Iran	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Iran - Uzbekistan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
06.11.12	Iran - Tajikistan	6:1

Tajikistan - Iran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide