Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Pamir Stadium (Dushanbe)


	Tajikistan		Maldives

	1	X	2
	1.04	15	41	Watch
	1.05	9.3	60	Watch
	1.02	10.5	23
	1.06	9.64	38.67	Watch
	1.03	14.1	39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↑ (1.04)	11.71 ↓ (16.45)	40.33 ↑ (34.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tajikistan
89.7%

Draw
8%

Maldives
2.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.5%

5.8%

2.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tajikistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Maldives has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tajikistan - Maldives Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tajikistan will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Maldives will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tajikistan: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tajikistan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baklov O. (G) Turan 8. Dzhuraboev A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 2. Dzhuraboev Z. Sogdiana 4. Kurbonov S. 15. Mabatshoev S. Regar-TadAZ 19. Nazarov A. (C) Istiqlol Dushanbe 17. Pandzhshanbe E. Istiqlol Dushanbe 5. Safarov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 22. Samiev S. Xorazm Urganch 14. Shukurov A. Khujand 9. Soirov R. Istiqlol Dushanbe	22. Faisal M. (G) Da Grande 12. Aiham A. Maziya 6. Aiham A. 8. Aisham I. Maziya 2. Ali S. (C) Maziya 14. Hassan H. Maziya 5. Irufaan M. Maziya 17. Mahudhee Hussain I. Club Eagles 10. Mohamed H. Maziya 9. Naiz H. Maziya 23. Nihaan H. Maziya
Substitutes
16. Azizov D. (G) Khosilot Parkhar 13. Daliev A. Barkchi Hisor 21. Imomnazarov D. Regar-TadAZ 18. Irgashev S. Ravshan Kulob 3. Islomov T. Istiqlol Dushanbe 6. Kakhorov M. 12. Karimov M. Locomotive Tbilisi 10. Khamrokulov N. Vakhsh 23. Khasanov M. (G) Istiqlol Dushanbe 20. Rahmatzoda R. 11. Rakhimov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe	15. Choatu Maziya 7. Fasir A. Maziya 3. Hisam S. Club Eagles 13. Imran M. 21. Naim M. Maldives 11. Raif H. Maziya 16. Rasheed A. 19. Rizuvan A. Club Eagles 1. Shareef H. (G) Maziya 20. Shifaz H. Maziya 4. Usamaa I. 18. Yaameen M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Samiev S. ⚽, Soirov R. (A),
28', Samiev S. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Mabatshoev S. ⚽,
36', Aisham I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Dzhuraboev Z. 🟨,
65', Soirov R. ↓, Imomnazarov D. ↑,
76', Naiz H. ↓, Naim M. ↑,
76', Nihaan H. ↓, Fasir A. ↑,
77', Samiev S. ↓, Khamrokulov N. ↑,
80', Mahudhee Hussain I. ↓, Imran M. ↑,
80', Mohamed H. ↓, Raif H. ↑,
87', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Irgashev S. ↑,
88', Shukurov A. ↓, Daliev A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Tajikistan is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tajikistan
CAFA Nations Cup
04.09.25	Tajikistan - Iran	2:2 ✺
01.09.25	Afghanistan - Tajikistan	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Tajikistan - India	1:2 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Cambodia - Tajikistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLTW
- Maldives
Friendly
09.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	0:3 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Singapore - Maldives	3:1 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Philippines - Maldives	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLL

Tajikistan - Maldives: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide