Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Talanta		Shabana

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.1	1.93
	3.81	2.97	1.92
	3.94	3.13	1.94	Watch
	4.19	3.02	1.89
	3.95	3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.82)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talanta
23%

Draw
29.8%

Shabana
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

30.3%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

29%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Talanta aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Talanta - Shabana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Odongo A. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Michira B. (Pen),
45', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 3, ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, ⚽,
76', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 4).

Recent matches Talanta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shabana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shabana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Talanta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Talanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Talanta	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Talanta - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Talanta	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Talanta - Bidco United	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Talanta - Nairobi City Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLT
- Shabana FC
Kenyan FKF Cup
13.04.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	1:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Shabana - Bandari	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Shabana - Muranga Seal	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	AFC Leopards - Shabana	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
08.12.24	Shabana - Talanta	2:1
15.05.24	Shabana - Talanta	1:1
01.09.23	Talanta - Shabana	1:1

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