Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Shabana		Bandari

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.88	2.98
	2.31	2.9	3.12
	2.32	2.9	3.15	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3
	2.34	3.01	3.12
	2.28	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.09)	2.88 ↓ (2.91)	3.08 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabana
39.2%

Draw
31.4%

Bandari
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

31.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

33%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Bandari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandari than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bandari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shabana - Bandari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

Shabana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bandari is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bandari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bandari has had a series of home games.

Shabana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bandari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Shabana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
24.01.26	APS Bomet - Shabana	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Shabana - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Shabana - Nairobi United	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTLW
- Bandari FC
Kenyan Premier League
28.01.26	Bandari - Police FC	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bandari - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Tusker - Bandari	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Bandari - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Bandari - Mathare United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
28.09.25	Bandari - Shabana	0:1
06.04.25	Shabana - Bandari	3:1
19.01.25	Bandari - Shabana	1:1
03.03.24	Shabana - Bandari	0:2
05.11.23	Bandari - Shabana	2:1

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