Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Shabana

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.58	3.3
	2.33	2.6	3.94
	2.48	2.5	3.46	Watch
	2.4	2.45	3.4
	2.42	2.53	3.41
	2.54	2.33	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.28)	2.5 ↓ (2.82)	3.5 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
37.5%

Draw
36.4%

Shabana
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

34.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Homeboyz (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Homeboyz (votes: 1 - 50%). Shabana (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Odhiambo P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).

Homeboyz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shabana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shabana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Homeboyz has had a series of home games.

Recently, Shabana has had a series of away games.

Homeboyz could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Homeboyz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
30.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TWLTT
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
06.12.25	Shabana - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Police FC - Shabana	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Muranga Seal - Shabana	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ulinzi Stars - Shabana	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Shabana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan FKF Cup
13.04.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
02.03.25	Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz	4:1
01.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:0
20.04.24	Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0
10.12.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:0

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