Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Talavera de la Reina		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.9	3	3.8
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.84	3.3	4.13	Watch
	1.91	3.65	3.65
	1.85	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.17)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	3.81 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
48.9%

Draw
27.3%

Rayo Majadahonda
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Majadahonda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Majadahonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Kandoussi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+8', Simeone G. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Talavera won 2.

Talavera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rayo Majadahonda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Talavera won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Talavera de la Reina	0:4 ✺
08.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWT
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.02.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	2:1
15.10.22	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2
10.04.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	1:2
28.11.21	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.02.18	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	0:0

Upcoming Matches