Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 25

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Adarve		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.7	2.15
	3.85	2.8	2.31
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.78)	2.75 ↓ (2.83)	2.23 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
25.1%

Draw
33.5%

Talavera de la Reina
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

32.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

32.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Adarve's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Adarve, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Blanco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 1 - 1, Cambra J. ⚽,
79', Jimenez A. 🟥,
86', 1 - 2, Cambra J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 2.

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talavera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Adarve won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Adarve - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLTL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife B	4:3 ✺
01.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Melilla - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	2:0
11.02.24	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.04.18	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:0
19.11.17	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Adarve	2:0

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