Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Cordoba)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Talleres de Córdoba		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.9	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.2	2.88	3.85
	2.29	2.93	4.01
	2.24	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.6
	2.11	3.04	4.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.07)	2.94 ↓ (3.11)	3.8 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talleres de Córdoba
43.1%

Draw
32%

Instituto Córdoba
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talleres de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	38.9%	11.1%

Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Talleres will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Instituto will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Talleres: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Talleres (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Herrera G. (C) 14. Guth R. 44. Fernandez S. 19. Palomino J. L. 20. Schott A. 5. Galarza M. A. 13. Sforza J. 3. Maidana A. 18. Cristaldo F. 49. Davila V. 77. Martinez R.	28. Roffo M. (G) 44. Cerato G. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 3. Sosa D. 13. Mendez J. 55. Abregu G. 19. Lodico G. A. 11. Fonseca M. 29. Jara F. 10. Luna A.
Substitutes
1. Barbi S. (G) 30. Baroni G. 26. Caceres M. 4. Catalan M. 45. Chamorro T. 36. Chiavassa E. 32. Ferrari L. 8. Ortegoza U. 37. Rick 55. Rio M. 28. Vigo A.	8. Acevedo J. 32. Bravo A. 2. De La Fuente H. 33. Erquiaga I. 15. Gallardo M. 7. Guerra N. 21. Lazaro J. 22. Massaccesi A. 5. Moyano F. 72. Rafaelli L. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 27. Tissera M.
Coaches
Tevez C.	Flores D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Guth R. 🟨,
25', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
27', Sforza J. 🟨,
28', Fonseca M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Davila V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guth R. ↓, Caceres M. ↑,
55', Caceres M. 🟨,
60', Fonseca M. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
60', Mendez J. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
65', Cristaldo F. ↓, Ortegoza U. ↑,
71', Galarza M. A. ↓, Rio M. ↑,
71', Davila V. ↓, Rick ↑,
76', Lodico G. A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
76', Jara F. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
78', Maidana A. 🟨,
82', Cerato G. 🟨,
82', Herrera G. 🟨,
84', Guerra N. 🟨,
85', Martinez R. ↓, Catalan M. ↑,
87', Abregu G. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Rick ⚽, Ortegoza U. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talleres won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Talleres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Talleres: Baez Corradi G. (Injury) Barticciotto B. (Injury) Depietri V. (Injury) Gomez M. (Inactive) Valoyes D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Instituto: Erquiaga I. (Inactive) Galvan J. (Injury) Moyano F. (Inactive) Romero J. (Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Talleres: Catalan M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Instituto: Cordoba Mosquera J. E. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Talleres won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Talleres won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Central Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Lanús - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TLWWT
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.11.25	Instituto Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0
03.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	1:2
03.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.24	Instituto Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2
16.09.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.23	Instituto Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	0:3
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.03.16	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	1:1

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