Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Instituto Córdoba		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	3.1	Watch
	2.45	2.8	3.25
	2.65	2.82	3	Watch
	2.66	2.93	3.17
	2.58	2.87	3.16
	2.5	2.7	3.1
	2.72	2.83	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
36.3%

Draw
33.5%

Unión Santa Fe
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

33.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

32.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Unión (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Unión (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 20%). Unión (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Roffo M. (G) 44. Cerato G. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 26. Mosevich L. 32. Bravo A. 3. Sosa D. 13. Mendez J. 19. Lodico G. A. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 11. Fonseca M. 10. Luna A.	21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C.
Substitutes
55. Abregu G. 8. Acevedo J. 2. De La Fuente H. 15. Gallardo M. 7. Guerra N. 29. Jara F. 21. Lazaro J. 22. Massaccesi A. 61. Medina J. 72. Rafaelli L. 27. Rossi I. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G)	31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 28. Gomes Gerth F. (G) 46. Grella S. 5. Menossi L. 32. Paz N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.
Coaches
Flores D.	Madelon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Rodriguez M. ↓, Fascendini V. ↑,
28', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Tarragona C. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
44', Lodico G. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bravo A. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Rafaelli L. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
63', Rafaelli L. 🟨,
66', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
66', Fonseca M. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
66', Mendez J. ↓, Abregu G. ↑,
74', Cerato G. 🟨,
76', Cuello B. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
80', Luna A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
87', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
90+2', Mosevich L. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1.

Recent performances by Instituto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unión is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Instituto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Instituto: Abregu G. (Inactive) Erquiaga I. (Inactive) Klimowicz L. (Inactive) Moyano F. (Inactive) Romero J. (Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Palavecino N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Instituto: Galvan J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Unión: Profini R. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Instituto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.26	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWLT
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.25	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	0:4
13.02.25	Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba	0:0
18.05.24	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
05.02.23	Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba	0:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.14	Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba	2:0
19.10.13	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	1:3

Upcoming Matches