Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 34

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tallinna JK Legion		Jõhvi Phoenix

	1	X	2
	5.75	6.00	1.30
	6.50	5.75	1.27
	5.77	6.37	1.35
	8.70	7.60	1.18	Watch
	5.50	6.10	1.26
	6.54	5.70	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↑ (5)	6.25 ↑ (4.9)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
14.1%

Draw
14.5%

Jõhvi Phoenix
71.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

18.2%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

15.6%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Jõhvi Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jõhvi Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna JK Legion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jõhvi Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Zahharov J. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Zahharov J. ⚽,
22', 0 - 3, Tikhomirov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 4, Velikanov V. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Legion is Relegated to.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legion won 0.

Legion has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Jõhvi Phoenix have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Legion could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Jõhvi Phoenix carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Legion has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:28 (averaging 1.6:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Legion against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 1.6:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Johvi Phoenix	34	18	3	13	76:76	0	57
10	Legion ✔	34	3	3	28	27:133	-106	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.10.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	11:0 ✺
10.10.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Viljandi Tulevik	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Levadia U19	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	12:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
18.10.26	Tartu Kalev - Jõhvi Phoenix	4:0 ✺
15.10.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tammeka U21	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Narva Trans U21	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
14.09.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:1
18.06.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	6:1
27.04.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	2:1
21.09.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	6:1
23.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3
25.05.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	3:0
06.04.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
31.10.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	✺

Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix