Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 30

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Jõhvi Phoenix		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.25	5.25
	1.33	5.25	5.75
	1.34	6.24	4.80
	1.28	6.72	6.25	Watch
	1.30	5.85	5.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	5.86 ↑ (5.25)	5.6 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jõhvi Phoenix
68.4%

Draw
15.4%

Tabasalu
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

17.1%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

16.1%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jõhvi Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jõhvi Phoenix won 1.

Jõhvi Phoenix is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Tabasalu is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has faced a series of away games on the road.

The betting markets point to Jõhvi Phoenix as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Jõhvi Phoenix in today's match, at odds of 1.33.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Jõhvi Phoenix has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:12 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jõhvi Phoenix against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Johvi Phoenix	30	17	3	10	71:68	3	54
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
14.09.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:3 ✺
10.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Levadia U19 - Jõhvi Phoenix	6:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
14.09.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Tabasalu - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	4:0 ✺
24.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
20.08.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2
09.05.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	1:2
18.04.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:1
18.09.25	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2
16.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:1
10.05.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	2:2
12.04.25	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:3

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