Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 20

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Kuressaare U21

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.25	3.5
	1.31	5.31	5.33
	1.67	4.4	3.68
	1.59	4.3	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	4.57 ↑ (4.35)	4.19 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
58.3%

Draw
20%

Kuressaare U21
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

20.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

16.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kuressaare U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna JK Legion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare U21 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuressaare U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tallinna JK Legion - Kuressaare U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Martsukov I. (G) 5. Maearu S. 4. Havier M. (C) 37. Kolodchuk M. 20. Malosev M. 14. Visman L. 16. Samborskyi D. 44. Borissov A. 10. Jakovenko A. 39. Vasilenko D. 13. Pochekutov V.	66. Meesit R. (G) 6. Jalak R. 25. Lonks J. 3. Leedo K. 57. Viil R. 50. Vapper K. 55. Soosalu R. 9. Opp M. (C) 72. Lohmus R. 29. Oispuu M. 99. Vinter R.
Substitutes
8. Klimakov J. M. 17. Nosach C. 35. Panov V. 18. Slavgorodski M. 23. Suhotski A. (G)	15. Kahju K. M. 10. Kallas H. 22. Pastak A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Vinter R. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Opp M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Vasilenko D. ⚽,
51', 2 - 2, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, Vasilenko D. ⚽,
73', 3 - 3, Vinter R. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Legion is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kuressaare U21 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Legion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Legion is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Legion won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Legion won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
04.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	6:1 ✺
18.09.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:6 ✺
14.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Kuressaare U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
05.10.25	Narva Trans U21 - Kuressaare U21	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tabasalu	0:5 ✺
21.09.25	Tartu Kalev - Kuressaare U21	3:1 ✺
18.09.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:6 ✺
13.09.25	Paide U21 - Kuressaare U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
18.09.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:6
11.05.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Kuressaare U21	2:0
31.08.24	Tallinna JK Legion - Kuressaare U21	2:1

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