Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 28

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare)


	Kuressaare U21		Tallinna JK Legion

	1	X	2
	2.78	4.25	1.92
	2.9	4.26	1.84
	3.13	4.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.08)	4.27 ↑ (4.25)	1.86 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuressaare U21
30.6%

Draw
21.1%

Tallinna JK Legion
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

21.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

20.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuressaare U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuressaare U21's form might have worsened.

Tallinna JK Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna JK Legion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare U21 than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuressaare U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna JK Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Kuressaare U21 - Tallinna JK Legion Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kuressaare U21 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Legion will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Legion (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Kuressaare U21 (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tallinna JK Legion will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kuressaare U21 (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Legion (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kuusk S. (G) 4. Kobin M. 25. Lonks J. 3. Leedo K. 80. Tarkmeel R. 8. Vapper K. 12. Vahenurm R. 6. Jalak R. 41. Opp M. (C) 29. Oispuu M. 11. Vesberg K.	23. Suhotski A. (G) 13. Pochekutov V. 10. Jakovenko A. 7. Blinov A. 5. Maearu S. 4. Havier M. (C) 30. Volodin A. 17. Nosach C. 14. Visman L. 51. Ruus D. 44. Borissov A.
Substitutes
15. Kahju K. M. 10. Kallas H. 72. Lohmus R. 22. Pastak A. 37. Trei M. 63. Vares T. 57. Viil R.	20. Malosev M. 35. Panov V. 18. Slavgorodski M. 39. Vasilenko D. 9. Vassiljev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 0 - 4, ⚽,
65', 1 - 4, ⚽,
72', 1 - 5, ⚽,
86', 1 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

Kuressaare U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Legion has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Legion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuressaare U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
13.09.25	Paide U21 - Kuressaare U21	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kuressaare U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	1:0 ✺
21.08.25	Tabasalu - Kuressaare U21	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:4 ✺
10.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Kuressaare U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36 TWWLW
- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
14.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tallinna JK Legion	6:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
11.05.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Kuressaare U21	2:0
31.08.24	Tallinna JK Legion - Kuressaare U21	2:1

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