Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 25

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Tartu Kalev		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.80	4.40
	1.47	4.80	4.35
	1.50	4.75	4.09
	1.45	5.15	4.05
	1.56	5.19	4.05
	1.45	4.90	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)	4.93 ↑ (4.6)	4.21 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
60.5%

Draw
18.2%

Tallinna Kalev U21
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

19.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

18.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Tartu Kalev aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Tartu Kalev is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kalev U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kalev U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tartu Kalev has had a series of home games.

Recently, Kalev U21 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tartu Kalev is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tartu Kalev will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1.5:5).

Including home match between the teams, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72:58	14	47
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
20.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tammeka U21	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
11.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Kalev	8:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
08.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:0 ✺
20.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:4 ✺
12.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tartu Kalev	7:2
24.04.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3

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