Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 24

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday


	Tartu Kalev		Tammeka U21

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.20	3.20
	2.02	3.95	2.70
	1.72	4.60	3.18
	1.70	4.55	3.10
	1.72	4.45	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)	4.35 ↑ (3.95)	3.11 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
50.5%

Draw
20.7%

Tammeka U21
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

22.6%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

22.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Kalev's performance.

Tammeka U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Kalev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Tartu Kalev - Tammeka U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Tartu Kalev is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tammeka U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tartu Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tartu Kalev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 1.3:5.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tammeka U21	30	15	4	11	74:60	14	49
6	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72:58	14	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
15.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
11.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Kalev	8:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
08.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW
- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
15.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tammeka U21	Tammeka U21 Awarded ✺
10.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	0:0 ✺
20.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:4 ✺
12.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?TTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
16.05.26	Tartu Kalev - Tammeka U21	2:2
19.04.26	Tammeka U21 - Tartu Kalev	7:1
20.07.24	Tammeka U21 - Tartu Kalev	7:1

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