Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Tammeka U21

	1	X	2
	3	4.55	1.8
	2.63	4.76	1.92
	2.9	6.58	1.68
	3.1	3.9	1.8
	2.99	4.35	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (4.05)	4.83 ↑ (4.68)	1.81 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
31.1%

Draw
18.8%

Tammeka U21
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

19.5%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

18.6%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev U21's performance.

Tammeka U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tammeka U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tammeka U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tammeka U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Tammeka U21 will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Tennokese R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Esiliiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 3.

Kalev U21 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tammeka U21 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Kalev U21 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tammeka U21 is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 2.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tammeka U21	30	15	4	11	74:60	14	49
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
23.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia U19	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:3 ✺
02.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	2:3 ✺
28.04.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
24.05.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tartu Kalev - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	12:0 ✺
03.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tammeka U21	7:2 ✺
26.04.26	Tammeka U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
11.04.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:2
Estonian Esiliiga
22.09.25	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:5
01.08.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tammeka U21	5:0
25.05.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tammeka U21	6:1
20.04.25	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:1
01.11.19	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:0
21.07.19	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tammeka U21	0:2

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