Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Tamaraceite		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.8	2.95
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.45	2.95	2.75
	2.66	2.79	3.02
	2.66	3.04	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.86 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
36.9%

Draw
31.1%

Ceuta
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamaraceite that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamaraceite - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Tamaraceite is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ceuta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.11.21	Panadería Pulido - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Tamaraceite - Las Palmas B	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Mérida AD - Tamaraceite	6:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tamaraceite - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Cacereño - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.11.21	Ceuta - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Coria - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Ceuta - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Ceuta - Vélez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWTW

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