Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Tamaraceite		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.1
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.63	3.25	2.08
	3.5	3.18	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
27%

Draw
29.6%

Mérida AD
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.9%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamaraceite that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamaraceite - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Tamaraceite is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mérida AD will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tamaraceite won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.03.22	Villanovense - Tamaraceite	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Tamaraceite - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Tamaraceite - San Roque de Lepe	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Antequera - Tamaraceite	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.03.22	Mérida AD - Don Benito	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Coria - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Mérida AD - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Mérida AD - Vélez	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Xerez Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.10.21	Mérida AD - Tamaraceite	6:1

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