Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Tambov		Akhmat Grozny

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.75
	4.6	3.35	1.77
	4.74	3.69	1.81
	4.8	3.4	1.75
	5.15	3.52	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.1)	3.49 ↑ (3.23)	1.78 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
20%

Draw
27%

Akhmat Grozny
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

29.1%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.6%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akhmat Grozny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	16.7%	61.1%

Tambov - Akhmat Grozny Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Tambov will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Akhmat will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akhmat: 45.2% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 9).

Tambov has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Akhmat has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Tambov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akhmat is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Akhmat is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tambov won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tambov won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tambov
Russian Premier League
01.11.20	Tambov - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Ural - Tambov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
21.10.20	Dynamo Bryansk - Tambov	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.20	Rotor - Tambov	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	Tambov - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWT
- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
31.10.20	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Akhmat Grozny - Ufa	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
21.10.20	Shinnik - Akhmat Grozny	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.20	Rostov - Akhmat Grozny	3:0 ✺
04.10.20	Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
07.07.20	Tambov - Akhmat Grozny	1:2
31.08.19	Akhmat Grozny - Tambov	1:1

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