Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Tambov		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.37	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.15	3.15	2.28
	3.05	3	2.38
	3.23	3.09	2.5
	3.1	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3.2	3.28	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.04)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)	2.37 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
29.9%

Draw
30.3%

Arsenal Tula
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

20.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tambov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tambov - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 12).

Tambov has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arsenal has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arsenal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tambov won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tambov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tambov
Russian Premier League
26.09.20	Tambov - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
20.09.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Tambov	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Tambov	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
12.09.20	Tambov - Ufa	2:0 ✺
30.08.20	Rubin Kazan - Tambov	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWT
- Arsenal Tula
Russian Premier League
27.09.20	Arsenal Tula - Rostov	2:3 ✺
Russian Cup
23.09.20	Salyut Belgorod - Arsenal Tula	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
20.09.20	Arsenal Tula - Sochi	3:2 ✺
14.09.20	Zenit - Arsenal Tula	3:1 ✺
29.08.20	Spartak Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
11.07.20	Arsenal Tula - Tambov	2:1
04.08.19	Tambov - Arsenal Tula	0:1
Russian Cup
20.09.17	Tambov - Arsenal Tula	1:0
26.08.15	Tambov - Arsenal Tula	1:0

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