Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 8


	Akhmat Grozny		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	4.03	3.7	1.94
	4.28	3.73	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.7)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
23.3%

Draw
26.1%

Krasnodar
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.7%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Krasnodar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ulyanov V. (G) 81. Sidorov M. 90. Ndong O. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 11. Silva I. 42. Keliano M. 9. Mansilla B. 17. Cacintura E. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 77. Melkadze G.	1. Agkatsev S. (G) 17. Paltsev V. 3. Tormena 4. Diego Costa 15. Olaza L. 88. Krivtsov N. 6. Lenini K. 11. Joao Batxi 10. Spertsyan E. (C) 20. Gonzalez G. 9. Cordoba J.
Substitutes
2. Abdulkadyrov D. 27. Davlitgereev A. 37. Gadio P. 4. Ibishev T. 23. Kenzhebek G. 82. Khlusevich D. 13. Konate M. 20. Samorodov M. 88. Shelia G. (G) 40. Utsiev R. 22. Zare M. 10. Zhemaletdinov R.	23. Boselli J. 27. Burkin E. 53. Chernikov A. 90. Cobnan M. D. 5. Jubal Junior 59. Khmarin A. 16. Koryakin A. (G)
Coaches
Cherchesov S.	Musaev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Spertsyan E. ↓, Chernikov A. ↑,
60', Mansilla B. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
66', Sadulaev L. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
73', Paltsev V. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
75', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
83', Chernikov A. 🟨,
85', Cake K. ↓, Zare M. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽,
90+3', Silva I. 🟥,
90+6', Chernikov A. 🟨,
90+8', Agkatsev S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 2.

Akhmat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Krasnodar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Krasnodar is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Krasnodar: 14.68% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21
13	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
21.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTWT
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
21.03.26	Krasnodar - Nizhny Novgorod	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
17.03.26	Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow	4:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.03.26	Sochi - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
04.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
04.10.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	2:0
19.04.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	3:1
Russian Cup
11.03.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:2
02.10.24	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	3:0
15.08.24	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:0
Russian Premier League
21.07.24	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	1:1
04.05.24	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	0:1

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