Match Info

USL Super League Women

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Riverfront Stadium (Tampa, FL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:30	Disney+
Brazil	20:30	Disney+
Chile	19:30	Disney+
Colombia	18:30	Disney+
Mexico	17:30	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	18:30	Disney+
Uruguay	20:30	Disney+
Usa	19:30	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	19:30	Disney+


	Tampa Bay Sun		Dallas Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.57	3.13	2.61
	2.62	2.96	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.46	3.28	2.49
	2.44	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.44)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.57 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Sun
36%

Draw
28.8%

Dallas Trinity
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Dallas Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Trinity than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Tampa Bay Sun - Dallas Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Beardsley E. (G) 4. Bessette V. 15. Hendrix B. 26. Chism T. 20. Haugen V. 5. Listro J. (C) 77. Heilferty A. 6. McNeill S. 35. Nasello S. 19. Giammona C. 39. Connors S.	26. McCamey T. (G) 18. Guidry S. 11. McCutcheon M. 2. Davison H. 13. Hintzen C. 22. Wisner J. (C) 16. Cheesman S. 21. Lancaster C. 20. Thornton A. 17. Hamid J. 12. Strawn S.
Substitutes
16. Bryan S. 3. Gabby Provenzano 7. Gaillard S. 12. Pokorny M. 11. Shimkin J. 42. Webber F. 44. Wegener E. (G)	88. Balcer B. 8. Danielsson J. 99. Estrada S. (G) 5. Flynn L. 10. Missimo A. 52. Swann C. 14. Ubogagu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Guidry S. ⚽, Lancaster C. (A),
24', Haugen V. ↓, Shimkin J. ↑,
27', 0 - 2, Lancaster C. ⚽, Strawn S. (A),
32', Wisner J. 🟨,
38', Listro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McNeill S. ↓, Pokorny M. ↑,
53', McCutcheon M. 🟨,
62', Hendrix B. 🟨,
65', Giammona C. ↓, Webber F. ↑,
72', Hamid J. ↓, Ubogagu C. ↑,
72', Thornton A. ↓, Balcer B. ↑,
83', Heilferty A. ↓, Gaillard S. ↑,
83', Listro J. ↓, Gabby Provenzano ↑,
86', Lancaster C. ↓, Missimo A. ↑,
88', Cheesman S. ↓, Swann C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dallas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dallas Trinity W	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
7	Tampa Bay Sun W	9	2	3	4	10:14	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Sun - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Sun
USL Super League Women
02.05.26	Fort Lauderdale United - Tampa Bay Sun	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Lexington - Tampa Bay Sun	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tampa Bay Sun - DC Power	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Dallas Trinity
USL Super League Women
01.05.26	DC Power - Dallas Trinity	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Brooklyn - Dallas Trinity	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Dallas Trinity - Carolina Ascent	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Brooklyn - Dallas Trinity	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Dallas Trinity - Spokane Zephyr	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Super League Women
31.03.26	Dallas Trinity - Tampa Bay Sun	1:2
20.09.25	Tampa Bay Sun - Dallas Trinity	1:1
07.06.25	Tampa Bay Sun - Dallas Trinity	2:1
04.05.25	Tampa Bay Sun - Dallas Trinity	1:0
15.02.25	Dallas Trinity - Tampa Bay Sun	1:1
08.12.24	Dallas Trinity - Tampa Bay Sun	2:0

Tampa Bay Sun - Dallas Trinity