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Current Win Probability
Tampines Rovers 19.3%
Draw 22.9%
Pathum United 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
23.5%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
23.7%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampines Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tampines Rovers's form might have worsened.
Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pathum United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampines Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampines Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pathum United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampines (votes: 3 - 50%). Pathum United (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Buhari S. (G) 23. Najeeb I. 4. Yamashita S. 5. Bin Azmi A. A. 26. Yoshimoto T. 88. Kazama K. 8. Shahiran S. 11. Kweh G. 7. Sumi S. 12. Buhagiar T. 25. Higashikawa H.
28. Anuin S. (G) 29. Jamnongwat W. 16. Sandokhadze N. 3. Ose T. 2. Nonthasila S. 13. Wonggorn J. 6. Yooyen S. 17. Notsuda G. 18. Songkrasin C. 14. Doi T. 7. Raniel
Substitutes
19. Chew J. 18. Chua Z. 17. Haikal A. 44. Ilya D. (G) 6. Mahler J. 74. Mohammad N. 50. Ndao T. 55. Phang K. 10. Ramli F. 13. Suparno T.
81. Choolthong W. 93. Dorkmaikaew P. (G) 22. James N. 27. Jantawong P. 5. Kaman K. 95. Matheus Fornazari 8. Panya E. 77. Phonsan S. 50. Puethong T. 4. Tongkiri C. 47. Wongsawang N.
Coaches
Rahman N.
Ishii M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Doi T. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Raniel ⚽, Notsuda G. (A),
30', Najeeb I. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Higashikawa H. ⚽, Buhagiar T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Notsuda G. ↓, Tongkiri C. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Higashikawa H. ⚽,
64', Kweh G. ↓, Ramli F. ↑,
64', Shahiran S. ↓, Mahler J. ↑,
65', Yooyen S. 🟨,
67', Raniel ↓, Panya E. ↑,
67', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
74', Kazama K. ↓, Chew J. ↑,
77', Panya E. 🟨,
78', 3 - 2, Higashikawa H. ⚽, Buhagiar T. (A),
87', Doi T. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
88', Wonggorn J. ↓, Puethong T. ↑,
88', Higashikawa H. ↓, Ndao T. ↑,
88', Buhagiar T. ↓, Suparno T. ↑,
Preview
Tampines Rovers is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Pathum United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pathum United could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampines Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampines Rovers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).