Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Pohang Steelers		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.45	6.9
	1.38	4.55	7.16
	1.82	3.41	4.29	Watch
	1.4	4.43	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.82)	4.23 ↑ (3.41)	6.57 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
63.5%

Draw
22.2%

Pathum United
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

30.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pohang Steelers's performance.

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pathum United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pohang Steelers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pathum United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pohang Steelers - Pathum United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pohang (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Pohang (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pohang Steelers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pohang (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon (C) 14. Park Seung-Wook 26. Park Chan-Yong 20. An J. 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 2. Eo Jeong-Won 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 11. da Rocha Junior J. 19. Lee Ho-Jae 9. Jorge Teixeira	1. Bogdanovic S. (G) 81. Choolthong W. 55. Tamma C. 69. N'Diaye S. 15. Drincic M. 13. Wonggorn J. 5. Kaman K. (C) 23. Emaviwe J. 4. Tongkiri C. 7. Raniel 10. Lopez J.
Substitutes
10. Baek Sung-Dong 12. Cho Jae-Hun 99. Cho Sang-Hyeok 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 4. Jeon Min-kwang 13. Kang Min-Jun 88. Kim Dong-Jin 7. Kim In-Sung 66. Lee Chang-Woo 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 27. Park S. 1. Yun Pyeong-Gook (G)	28. Anuin S. (G) 89. Buaphan C. 14. Doi T. 93. Dorkmaikaew P. (G) 2. Nonthasila S. 17. Notsuda G. 3. Ose T. 8. Panya E. 50. Puethong T. 33. Sangvilay P. 18. Songkrasin C. 6. Yooyen S.
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Ishii M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Shin Kwang-Hoon 🟨,
37', Jorge Teixeira 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Lee Ho-Jae ⚽, Shin Kwang-Hoon (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', N'Diaye S. ↓, Ose T. ↑,
46', Emaviwe J. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
53', Han Hyeon-Seo ↓, Kim Dong-Jin ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Lee Ho-Jae ⚽, da Rocha Junior J. (A),
69', An J. ↓, Baek Sung-Dong ↑,
69', Shin Kwang-Hoon ↓, Jeon Min-kwang ↑,
70', Raniel ↓, Doi T. ↑,
70', Kaman K. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
80', Jorge Teixeira ↓, Cho Sang-Hyeok ↑,
80', Lee Ho-Jae ↓, Park S. ↑,
80', Park Seung-Wook 🟨,
86', Cho Sang-Hyeok 🟨,
89', Tongkiri C. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Pohang is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pohang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pohang Steelers - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.25	Pohang Steelers - Tampines Rovers	1:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTWL
- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
22.11.25	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pathum United - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.25	Pathum United - Kaya	2:1 ✺
Thai League 1
02.11.25	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sukhothai - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
18.09.25	Pathum United - Pohang Steelers	0:1

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