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Current Win Probability
Ebbsfleet United 36.1%
Draw 27%
Wealdstone 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
27.6%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
26.5%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wealdstone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ebbsfleet United - Wealdstone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 9. Bingham R. 22. Chapman B. 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 10. Fonguck W. 14. Poleon D. 23. Souare P. 33. Stewart A. 4. Wright J.
31. Howes S. (G) 20. Ashford S. 6. Barrett M. 21. Cesay K. 2. Cook J. 8. Eastmond C. 3. Georgiou A. 10. Kretzschmar M. 23. Mundle-Smith J. 22. Reid A. 18. Scott C.
Substitutes
30. Berry D. (G) 6. John L. 7. Lawson S. 19. Tanga J. 27. Tanner C. 39. Thomas K. 25. Wakely J.
13. Adams J. (G) 7. Boldewijn E. 5. Dyer A. 19. Mariappa A. 14. Obiero M. 24. Sandat H. 25. Wells-Morrison J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Scott C. 🟨,
30', Eastmond C. ↓, Dyer A. ↑,
35', Barrett M. ↓, Mariappa A. ↑,
44', Mundle-Smith J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Scott C. ↓, Boldewijn E. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Ashford S. ⚽, Kretzschmar M. (A),
60', Cosgrave A. 🟨,
61', Fonguck W. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
62', Ashford S. 🟨,
65', Bingham R. 🟨,
70', 0 - 2, Reid A. ⚽,
71', Poleon D. ↓, Tanner C. ↑,
71', Domi F. ↓, Tanga J. ↑,
71', Bingham R. ↓, Lawson S. ↑,
73', Kretzschmar M. ↓, Obiero M. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Cosgrave A. ⚽,
86', Ashford S. ↓, Wells-Morrison J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Thomas K. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 3.
Ebbsfleet has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Wealdstone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wealdstone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).