Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 41

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Tamworth		Leiston

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.25
	1.93	3.86	3.33
	1.96	3.5	3.44
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.12)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	3.33 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
47.2%

Draw
25.4%

Leiston
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Tamworth - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 1.

Recent matches Tamworth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leiston is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tamworth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
10.04.23	Tamworth - Stratford Town	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	St Ives Town - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Tamworth - Rushden & Diamonds	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Royston Town - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Tamworth - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTWL
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
10.04.23	Needham Market - Leiston	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Leiston - Barwell	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Leiston - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Leiston	0:0 ✺
21.03.23	Stratford Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Leiston - Tamworth	2:1
15.03.22	Leiston - Tamworth	1:1
23.10.21	Tamworth - Leiston	1:3
18.01.20	Tamworth - Leiston	1:2
English FA Trophy
26.10.19	Tamworth - Leiston	4:0
English Southern League Central Division
24.08.19	Leiston - Tamworth	1:2
20.04.19	Tamworth - Leiston	5:0

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