Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Tanabi		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.8
	2.42	2.82	2.88
	2.58	2.63	2.97
	2.6	2.69	2.98	Watch
	2.5	2.6	2.9
	2.5	3.05	2.94
	2.3	3.05	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)	2.83 ↓ (3.08)	2.91 (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tanabi
36.8%

Draw
32.1%

São Caetano
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tanabi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The chances for São Caetano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tanabi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Tanabi - São Caetano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Tanabi (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tanabi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Tanabi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Caetano is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanabi EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
13.03.26	VOCEM - Tanabi	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Tanabi - Jacareí	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	ECUS - Tanabi	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tanabi - Nacional SP	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Tanabi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWWL
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
14.03.26	São Caetano - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Taquaritinga - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	São Caetano - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Araçatuba - São Caetano	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	São Caetano - ECUS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWT

Tanabi - São Caetano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide