Match Info
Paulista A4 - Round 8Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
São Caetano |
|
Comercial SP |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.1 |
4.15 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.08 |
3.88 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.21 |
4.16 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.89 |
3.1 |
4.01 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.8) |
3.1 ↓
(3.21) |
3.99 ↓
(4.27) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Caetano
48.3% | Draw
29.1% | Comercial SP
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-2.2%)São Caetano - Comercial SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Robson D. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 44', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).São Caetano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Comercial SP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, São Caetano is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.Including home match between the teams, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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