Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)


	Tapatío		Atlante

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	3.4	3.5	1.95
	3.85	3.78	1.93
	3.60	3.43	2.00	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	3.68	3.73	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.37)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tapatío
27.5%

Draw
26.9%

Atlante
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Tapatío - Atlante Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlante will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
201. Liceaga J. (G) 67. Aguayo S. 54. Freyfeld E. 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 225. Inda S. 48. Jimenez L. 60. Ledesma L. 50. Mendez F. 69. Villaseca D. 72. Villegas A. 44. Zamora S. (C)	29. Espinoza G. (G) 22. Calzadilla L. 15. Cantu E. 11. Coubert R. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 21. Ibarra J. (C) 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. 2. Reyes F.
Substitutes
74. Anaya M. 46. Egurrola L. 198. Latorre D. 71. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 203. Nuno R. 47. Ortiz G. 62. Tellez B. 59. Torres C.	1. Barragan R. (G) 31. Bello B. 6. Carrera J. N. 7. Garcia M. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 17. Mejia L. 23. Padilla A. 20. Tovar J. 9. Wlk A.
Coaches
Ortega A.	Fuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Aguayo S. 🟨,
42', Jimenez E. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
45', Cruz D. 🟥,
45+3', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ⚽, Aguayo S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Meza H. ↓, Carrera J. N. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Aguayo S. ⚽, Ledesma L. (A),
69', 🟨,
70', Coubert R. ↓, Wlk A. ↑,
77', Jimenez L. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
77', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
77', Inda S. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
82', Calzadilla L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
82', Cantu E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
84', Aguayo S. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
84', Freyfeld E. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Egurrola L. ⚽, Ortiz G. (A),
90+5', Mendez F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 0.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Venados - Tapatío	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TLWWW
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.08.25	Atlante - Irapuato	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Atlante	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Atlante - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Atlante	2:2 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.04.25	Atlante - Atlético Morelia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.03.25	Tapatío - Atlante	1:1
04.10.24	Atlante - Tapatío	1:1
05.05.24	Atlante - Tapatío	5:1
02.05.24	Tapatío - Atlante	0:3
02.04.24	Tapatío - Atlante	0:0
30.09.23	Atlante - Tapatío	1:1
03.06.23	Atlante - Tapatío	1:0

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