The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlante 61.2%
Draw 23.1%
Tepatitlán de Morelos 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63%
22.1%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
23.9%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Atlante - Tepatitlán de Morelos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Beltran R. (G) 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 15. Charcopa J. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 19. Gonzalez S. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C)
1. Gutierrez G. (C) 22. Aguilar D. 26. Dominguez I. 10. Guzman W. 19. Islas O. 29. Mendoza B. 2. Pinela M. 11. Reyes J. 6. Ruiz A. 8. Samano Salgado F. 23. Venegas J.
Substitutes
1. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 25. Coubert R. 7. Garcia M. 16. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez R. 11. Hernandez I. 24. Pizzuto E. 9. Puente L. 20. Tovar J.
151. De La Torre K. 7. Escoto A. 18. Gomez J. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 13. Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 5. Gonzalez K. 33. Martinez A. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 30. Talavera J.
Coaches
Carbajal R.
Pereyra G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Escobar A. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Meza H. ⚽, Charcopa J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Charcopa J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
58', Gonzalez S. ↓, Puente L. ↑,
63', Meza H. 🟨,
69', Ibarra J. 🟨,
70', Pinela M. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Ibarra J. ⚽,
79', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Pizzuto E. ↑,
79', Islas O. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
79', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
81', Mendoza B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
82', Cruz D. 🟨,
86', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlante is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
Mexico
Watch
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Beltran R. (G) 
Carrera J. N. 
Charcopa J. 
Pinela M. 
Pereyra G. 
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