The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tapatío 37.3%
Draw 25.5%
Atlético La Paz 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
25%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
26.2%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tapatío, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético La Paz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Tapatío - Atlético La Paz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Tapatío (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atlético La Paz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tapatío has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:13 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tapatío against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).
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