Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 15

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Colorado Caieiras		Penapolense

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	4.01	3.9	1.65
	4.24	3.93	1.66	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.62
	4.83	3.78	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↓ (6.32)	3.72 ↓ (3.87)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Caieiras
20.2%

Draw
24.3%

Penapolense
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

23.7%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

23%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Caieiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Caieiras's performance.

Penapolense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penapolense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Caieiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penapolense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colorado Caieiras - Penapolense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Penapolense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Colorado Caieiras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penapolense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Penapolense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Penapolense is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colorado Caieiras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Caieiras FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.03.26	Tanabi - Colorado Caieiras	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nacional SP - Colorado Caieiras	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Colorado Caieiras - ECUS	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Colorado Caieiras - Taquaritinga	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Lemense FC - Colorado Caieiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLLTW
- CA Penapolense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.03.26	Penapolense - Araçatuba	6:0 ✺
25.03.26	Penapolense - Barretos	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Penapolense	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Penapolense - Jabaquara	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Nacional SP - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.02.25	Penapolense - Colorado Caieiras	0:0

Colorado Caieiras - Penapolense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide