Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 23 May 2026, Saturday
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Tarancón |
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Manchego |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.37 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
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2.15 |
2.78 |
3.55 |
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2.19 |
2.65 |
3.7 |
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6.79 |
3.64 |
1.52 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
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2.17 |
2.69 |
3.74 |
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1.77 |
3.25 |
3.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(1.77) |
2.94 ↓
(3.25) |
3.17 ↓
(3.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tarancón
34.8% | Draw
33.8% | Manchego
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarancón's form might have worsened.Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchego's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+17.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarancón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Tarancón - Manchego Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Ramon J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 83', Flores D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 2.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.Tarancón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Tarancón will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 15 |
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| 8 | Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 17.05.26 | Manchego - Tarancón | 0:0 | | 14.02.26 | Manchego - Tarancón | 0:2 | | 04.10.25 | Tarancón - Manchego | 1:2 | | 11.05.25 | Tarancón - Manchego | 2:2 | | 11.01.25 | Manchego - Tarancón | 1:3 | | 28.01.23 | Manchego - Tarancón | 2:0 | | 24.09.22 | Tarancón - Manchego | 1:1 |
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