The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tarazona 71.8%
Draw 20.8%
Atlético Sanluqueño 7.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
31.9%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
30.9%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tarazona's performance.
Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Sanluqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarazona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Sanluqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tarazona - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Amigo A. (G) 2. Lopez A. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. (C) 14. Borge A. 3. Martinez Chechu 8. Ramon A. 6. Carrasco O. 22. Vaquero 9. Cubillas D. 19. Armero S.
13. Dominguez R. (G) 4. Almagro S. 9. Alvarez I. 11. Simon L. 12. Ukwuije N. 14. Pavon A. 17. Rodri 21. Satoca D. (C) 22. Lopez R. 23. Gomez A. 26. Andujar J.
Substitutes
16. Delmas J. 1. Josele (G) 20. Martinez J. 21. Nieto C. 23. Rodriguez D. 7. Soto D.
24. Ajouaou V. 30. Barea P. 28. Bargallo A. 15. Denia M. 7. Kikin 20. Lobede U. 5. Niza S. 1. Rocafort R. (G) 16. Viedma A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Traore B. 🟨,
22', Carrasco O. 🟨,
37', Martinez Chechu 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Alvarez I. ⚽,
45+3', Lopez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopez R. ↓, Lobede U. ↑,
51', Lobede U. 🟨,
59', Traore B. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Lobede U. ⚽,
77', Armero S. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Martinez Chechu ↓, Nieto C. ↑,
80', Ramon A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
83', Simon L. ↓, Denia M. ↑,
86', Borge A. 🟨,
87', Rodri ↓, Barea P. ↑,
90+6', Cubillas D. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Tarazona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sanluqueño has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Tarazona is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.