Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.2
	2.38	2.88	3.1
	2.48	2.66	3.45	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.2
	2.38	2.71	3.23
	2.37	2.57	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.39)	2.69 ↓ (2.79)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
38.3%

Draw
33.7%

Algeciras
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

33.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

33.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Algeciras have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Tarazona - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josele (G) 2. Lopez A. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. 3. Martinez Chechu 14. Borge A. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Carrasco O. 8. Ramon A. 17. Jimenez A. 10. Aguero	1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 6. Mayorga A. 4. Coch A. 11. Sanchez T. 24. Castro O. 8. Turrillo I. 21. Garcia J. 10. Garrido D. 7. Rastrojo J. 9. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
15. Alonso I. 13. Amigo A. (G) 19. Armero S. 9. Cubillas D. 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D. 22. Vaquero	22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 20. Alamo J. 2. Arauz C. 17. Aviles J. 16. Gomez A. 14. Nader A. 19. Obeng I. 30. Perez M. (G) 23. Riley J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Aguero ⚽,
19', Mayorga A. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Jimenez A. ⚽,
32', Traore B. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Garcia J. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Cubillas D. 🟨,
39', Martinez Chechu 🟨,
41', 2 - 2, Mayorga A. ⚽,
45+5', Trilles M. 🟨,
45+9', Sanchez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Aguero 🟨,
65', Jimenez A. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
65', Traore B. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
72', Garcia J. ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
72', Marquez J. ↓, Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↑,
74', Alonso I. 🟨,
76', Rodriguez D. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
79', Garrido D. ↓, Alamo J. ↑,
85', Ramon A. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
85', Lopez A. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
85', Rastrojo J. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tarazona might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Algeciras - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.88%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tarazona - Teruel	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Eldense - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Tarazona - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWLTL
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.26	Algeciras - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	Algeciras - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Teruel - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ibiza - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLWL

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