Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.88
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.4	2.88	3.05
	2.59	2.73	3.24
	2.55	2.75	3.19	Watch
	2.45	2.5	3
	2.49	2.63	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.29)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
37.1%

Draw
33.4%

Cartagena
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

32.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

34%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Tarazona - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amigo A. (G) 16. Delmas J. 5. Traore B. 14. Borge A. 3. Martinez Chechu 21. Nieto C. 8. Ramon T. 6. Carrasco O. 23. Busi 9. Cubillas D. (C) 10. Aguero	13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 3. Jimenez N. 7. Rahmani Y. 15. Jules J. 8. De Blasis P. 17. Sanchez K. 9. Ortuno A. (C) 19. Chiki
Substitutes
19. Armero S. 17. Jimenez A. 1. Josele (G) 2. Lopez A. 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D. 22. Vaquero	14. Alcaniz E. 37. Chatiliez W. 12. Ebro Cortina E. 6. Fidalgo A. 2. Jurado M. 10. Larrea P. 16. Martin A. 1. Martinez I. (G) 23. Nacho 21. Ramirez B. 11. Redondo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Sanchez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perejon D. ↓, Jurado M. ↑,
49', Jules J. 🟨,
55', Jimenez N. ↓, Nacho ↑,
59', Cubillas D. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
60', Sanchez K. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
60', Jules J. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
68', Traore B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 7).

Recent performances by Tarazona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cartagena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tarazona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Tarazona - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.3%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	Ibiza - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tarazona - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	CE Europa - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Tarazona - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Villarreal B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	Cartagena - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Cartagena - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Real Murcia - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Cartagena - Marbella	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Hércules - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.25	Cartagena - Tarazona	3:0

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