Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Murcia		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.63	3.9
	2.08	2.82	3.9
	2.04	2.88	4.04
	2.01	3.05	4.08	Watch
	2.05	2.6	3.9
	2.02	2.71	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 (2.04)	2.78 ↓ (2.96)	4.01 (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
44.6%

Draw
32.7%

Cartagena
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

31.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

30%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Real Murcia - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 2. Mier J. 15. Gil O. 6. Gonzalez A. (C) 3. Romero C. 17. Narro V. 16. Antonio David 10. Gomez I. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 8. Ortuno J. 9. Benito P. A. P.	13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 3. Jimenez N. 7. Rahmani Y. 15. Jules J. 8. De Blasis P. (C) 17. Sanchez K. 11. Redondo L. 19. Chiki
Substitutes
23. Bosilj D. 11. Bustos A. 21. Djanbou S. 4. Garcia H. J. 42. Gimenez Sanchez E. 12. Joao Pedro Palmberg 22. Juan Carlos 35. Kajaia S. (G) 14. Leon P. 34. Sanchez J. G. 20. Zenitagoia E.	14. Alcaniz E. 37. Chatiliez W. 12. Ebro Cortina E. 6. Fidalgo A. 2. Jurado M. 10. Larrea P. 16. Martin A. 1. Martinez I. (G) 23. Nacho 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Jorquera Romero J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Rahmani Y. ⚽,
45+5', Mier J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortuno J. ↓, Zenitagoia E. ↑,
46', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Jimenez N. ⚽,
60', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
70', Jimenez N. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
70', Redondo L. ↓, Nacho ↑,
77', Chatiliez W. 🟨,
82', De Blasis P. 🟨,
84', Gomez I. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
86', De Blasis P. ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+5', Jules J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	3	12
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.02.26	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Teruel - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Real Murcia - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Ibiza - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.02.26	Cartagena - Marbella	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Hércules - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cartagena - CE Europa	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Villarreal B - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cartagena - Ibiza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.25	Cartagena - Real Murcia	0:1
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Cartagena - Real Murcia	3:1
10.08.21	Cartagena - Real Murcia	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.19	Real Murcia - Cartagena	2:0
07.04.19	Cartagena - Real Murcia	1:1
18.11.18	Real Murcia - Cartagena	1:2
08.04.18	Real Murcia - Cartagena	2:1

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