Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Tarazona		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3.1
	2.27	3.15	3.15
	2.23	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.21)	3.03 ↑ (2.93)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
40.8%

Draw
30.1%

Navalcarnero
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

32.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Tarazona - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Tarazona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tarazona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.05.23	Tarazona - Compostela	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Compostela - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.05.23	Real Sociedad C - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Tarazona - Racing Rioja	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Arnedo - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWT
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.05.23	Navalcarnero - Manresa	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Manresa - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.05.23	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Melilla - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	Navalcarnero - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWTW

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