Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Marsa		Tarxien Rainbows

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2
				Watch
	3.16	3.77	1.97	Watch
	3.36	3.44	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
29.6%

Draw
25.8%

Tarxien Rainbows
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.8%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Marsa - Tarxien Rainbows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mifsud L. (G) 30. Abela I. 8. Aboumehdi J. 18. Azzopardi J. 98. Bugeja S. 81. Cipriott S. 9. Claudir 17. Engerer J. 26. Gatt K. (C) 20. Muscat L. 99. Sgaria R.	1. Vella A. (G) 37. Azzopardi M. 98. Barboza C. 88. Boadu D. 10. Brincat J. 21. Brincat Z. 4. D'Alessandro M. 77. Muscat B. (C) 5. Sant D. 6. Vella H. 8. Xuereb M.
Substitutes
7. Agius D. 10. Aquilina G. 22. Bugeja G. 6. Bugeja M. 12. Caruana R. (G) 21. Grima D. (G) 1. Sylla A. (G) 4. Zerafa D.	7. Borg C. 11. Borg S. P. 33. Cande B. 20. Debono J. 99. Gusman T. 17. Mensah G. 95. Micallef S. (G) 18. Mizzi S. 19. Tabone M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Claudir 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Barboza C. ⚽,
18', Abela I. 🟨,
29', Claudir ↓, Bugeja G. ↑,
30', 0 - 2, Boadu D. ⚽,
33', Bugeja G. 🟨,
41', Abela I. 🟨,
45+2', Sant D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Agius D. 🟨,
46', Agius D. 🟨,
46', Azzopardi J. ↓, Zerafa D. ↑,
49', Engerer J. 🟨,
53', Boadu D. ↓, Gusman T. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Engerer J. (Pen),
71', Muscat B. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
71', Vella H. ↓, Mizzi S. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Brincat Z. ⚽,
81', Sgaria R. ↓, Bugeja M. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Brincat Z. ⚽,
86', Zerafa D. 🟨,
87', Barboza C. ↓, Debono J. ↑,
87', Brincat Z. ↓, Borg S. P. ↑,

Preview

Marsa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tarxien is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tarxien will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
29.03.25	Santa Lucia - Marsa	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Marsa - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	5:2 ✺
22.02.25	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Mġarr United - Marsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Challenge League
29.03.25	Żurrieq - Tarxien Rainbows	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
21.09.24	Marsa - Tarxien Rainbows	1:2
03.12.23	Tarxien Rainbows - Marsa	3:2
04.12.22	Marsa - Tarxien Rainbows	3:3
12.03.22	Marsa - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0
Maltese FA Trophy
09.02.22	Marsa - Tarxien Rainbows	0:2

Marsa - Tarxien Rainbows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide