The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tau Altopascio 42.4%
Draw 31.7%
Orvietana 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
26.6%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
25.8%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tau Altopascio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tau Altopascio's form might have worsened.
Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tau Altopascio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-5%)
Tau Altopascio - Orvietana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Citarella F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
Tau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Orvietana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Tau is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Watch
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