Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Orvietana

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.35	8.1
	1.32	4.52	8.71	Watch
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.31	4.45	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	4.38 ↑ (4.2)	8.4 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
68.6%

Draw
20.7%

Orvietana
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

20.5%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Orvietana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Grosseto - Orvietana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Caon G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 4.

Grosseto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orvietana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Grosseto is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Grosseto will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.02.26	Tau Altopascio - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Grosseto - Trestina	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Camaiore - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Grosseto - Cannara	6:0 ✺
18.01.26	Montevarchi - Grosseto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.02.26	Orvietana - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Foligno - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Orvietana - Seravezza Pozzi	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ghiviborgo - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.10.25	Orvietana - Grosseto	0:1
05.01.25	Orvietana - Grosseto	2:1
08.09.24	Grosseto - Orvietana	3:0
28.04.24	Grosseto - Orvietana	2:1
17.12.23	Orvietana - Grosseto	0:1
05.03.23	Orvietana - Grosseto	4:1
30.10.22	Grosseto - Orvietana	1:0

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