Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Foligno		Orvietana

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.05
	1.75	3.58	4.16
	1.73	3.5	4.23
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	4.11 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foligno
51.9%

Draw
26%

Orvietana
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Foligno - Orvietana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Foligno is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orvietana's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Foligno is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Foligno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
01.02.26	Tau Altopascio - Foligno	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Foligno - Trestina	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Camaiore - Foligno	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	Foligno - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Montevarchi - Foligno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWT
- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
01.02.26	Orvietana - Seravezza Pozzi	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ghiviborgo - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Siena - Orvietana	5:1 ✺
04.01.26	Orvietana - Prato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.25	Orvietana - Foligno	3:1

Foligno - Orvietana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide