The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tau Altopascio 65.3%
Draw 21.8%
Poggibonsi 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
24.6%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
23%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tau Altopascio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tau Altopascio's performance.
Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poggibonsi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tau Altopascio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poggibonsi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tau Altopascio - Poggibonsi Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Tau (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tau (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Borri L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Tau has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Poggibonsi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Tau is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Tau will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Tau Altopascio - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.